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Go to kalshi.com and create an account if you haven't already. Fund it with an amount you're comfortable trading — we recommend starting with $50–$200 to see enough signal volume.

Important: Keep your Kalshi account funded and open in a browser tab when signals are active. You have 10–15 minutes to act on each signal.

When you receive a signal, go to the Kalshi market (use the "Trade on Kalshi" link on each signal card). You'll see an order book with YES and NO contracts.

Always use limit orders — never market orders. Kalshi charges zero fees for limit orders that fill as a maker. Market orders pay a taker fee that can wipe out the edge entirely.

Set your limit price to the entry range shown in the signal (e.g. 40–42¢). If the price moves outside your range before filling, cancel and skip the signal.

EV% (expected value percentage) measures the mathematical edge on a signal. A +15.8% EV means:

Kalshi ask: 40¢ → Fair value: 46.3¢ → Edge: (46.3 - 40) / 40 = 15.8%

This means you're buying something worth 46¢ for 40¢. Over many such trades, you profit. Over 10 trades, you might not — variance is normal and expected.

We track edge, not wins. A signal that loses is not a bad signal. A series of high-EV signals that all lose is bad luck, not a broken model. Check our track record after 50+ signals, not 5.

CLV (Closing Line Value) measures how much better your entry price was compared to where the market closed before the game started.

Example: You bought YES at 40¢. The market closed at 48¢. Your CLV is +8¢ — the market agreed with the signal.

Consistent positive CLV is the strongest indicator of real edge. It means we're finding mispricings before the market corrects them. Short-run wins and losses are noise. CLV is signal.

EV-based trading has natural variance. Here's how to approach it correctly:

• Use consistent unit sizes. Don't bet more on "high conviction" signals.
• Evaluate results over 50+ signals minimum, not individual trades.
• A losing week does not mean the edge has disappeared. Check our track record.
• Never chase losses by sizing up after a bad run.
• Only use money you can afford to lose entirely.

Problem gambling helpline: 1-800-522-4700 (24/7, free)